Boris Johnson’s fall from 11th to 17th in our monthly Cabinet League Table, and the eight in ten panel members backing the end of all lockdown restrictions on July 17th, help to explain the result above.

After four months in the mid-70s, he is back where he was in January, before the vaccine effect kicked in to raise his score.

Party members believe that inoculation is doing its work, because death and hospitalisation figures haven’t taken off, and that the Prime Minister should lift the restrictions – at least if our survey is anything to go by.

That’s the most natural explanation of this noticeable though relatively small fall.  Here’s a record of his score on this question:

  • May 2021: 74 per cent.
  • April 2021: 75 per cent.
  • March 2021: 74 per cent.
  • February 2021: 74 per cent.
  • January 2021: 65 per cent.
  • December 2020: 45 per cent.
  • November 2020: 37 per cent.
  • October 2020: 42 per cent.
  • September 2020: 30 per cent.
  • August 2020: 49 per cent.
  • July 2020: 61 per cent.
  • June 2020: 64 per cent.
  • May 2020: 72 per cent.
  • April 2020: 84 per cent,
  • March 2020: 92 per cent.

The Government’s score on the same question, at 67 per cent, is essentially the same.  Rishi Sunak’s response to the virus gained an approval rating in this latest survey of 81 per cent.