Our members panel has a good record as a snapshot of Party activist opinion. During last year’s leadership election, it was within a single point, as the ballot papers were being returned, of Boris Johnson’s final total.
We get that off our chest at the start because public opinion undoubtedly has been against Dominic Cummings during the recent controversy about his conduct during lockdown – and doubtless still is.
So some are bound to ask whether Conservative Party members can really be in such a different place from most voters.
However, so it would seem to be. Not only are more of our panel more supportive of him than not, but are so by a margin of roughly three to one.
As the table below shows, it makes little difference if the question is one of resignation rather than dismissal. The sum of the matter is that about seven in ten Party members are pro-Cummings.