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How to measure the size of the Conservative rebellion this evening

Courtesy of Philip Cowley, here are some markers for this evening’s votes, when they come.

15 January 2019 at 10:00 am | 48 comments

Almost good enough isn’t good enough

Strangely but truly, the best way of helping the Prime Minister is to send her back to Brussels to win concessions on the backstop.

By Paul Goodman | 15 January 2019 at 6:50 am | 146 comments

A fact amidst the rumours. The Prime Minister is failing to persuade most rebel Conservative MPs to switch and support her deal.

We count four so far from our list of 109 who have changed their minds – and all of them were only “probables”.

By Paul Goodman | 14 January 2019 at 7:39 am | 232 comments

Grayling, Patten, the Far Right, the IRA, Brexit, the Speaker – and the difference between a threat and a warning

If two men are in a car, and the passenger says to the driver: “Look out! You’re going to crash,” he is shouting out the second, not the first.

By Paul Goodman | 13 January 2019 at 7:00 am | 183 comments

As the ‘meaningful vote’ approaches, apply buckets of salt to all Government news

Scepticism is always a healthy attitude – but the spin being pumped out this weekend merits even more than normal.

By Mark Wallace | 12 January 2019 at 7:00 am | 329 comments

The idea that this Government has made a habit of ‘constitutional outrages’ is false

David Allen Green has painted an inaccurate and flattering picture of the circumstances in which John Bercow shattered precedent this week.

By Henry Hill | 11 January 2019 at 12:30 pm | 33 comments

“No-one voted for Brexit to become poorer.” Really? We vote to deny ourselves money all the time.

Security, cohesion, integration, solidarity: all are intangible. But we pay – literally – to gain them. Why single out self-government?

By Paul Goodman | 11 January 2019 at 6:40 am | 260 comments

This rotting Cabinet

The conventional wisdom is: weak Prime Minister, strong Cabinet. But what we see is: weak Prime Minister, weak Cabinet.

By Paul Goodman | 10 January 2019 at 6:40 am | 275 comments

Andrew Gimson’s Commons sketch: Tory MPs fear Bercow is betraying Brexit

The anger expressed on the Conservative benches reflected the anger felt in many a humble home.

By Andrew Gimson | 9 January 2019 at 5:12 pm | 86 comments

Bercow had already harmed the role of Speaker. But his latest intervention threatens to do irreparable damage.

MPs cheering on some temporary political advantage may come to rue the day the Commons gave up the concept of an impartial, respected champion.

By Mark Wallace | 9 January 2019 at 4:45 pm | 103 comments

Our guide to how the Government can deliver its Brexit deal in Parliament. Or No Deal. And whether MPs can block the latter.

Short of backing Labour in a no-confidence vote, rebels can only make such a departure more chaotic and hope the Prime Minister buckles.

By Henry Hill | 9 January 2019 at 7:00 am | 106 comments

Extending Article 50? A clumsy tactic, and an even worse plan.

Brexiteer MPs believe such hints are being leaked to try to frighten them. But some in Government have indeed toyed with the idea.

By Mark Wallace | 8 January 2019 at 4:12 pm | 92 comments

Brexit: The Uncivil War. Graham gives us Cummings Agonistes – and a Tory work of art.

The noise that he picks up, with an almost clairvoyant sense, is not that of a queue waiting to vote but of a mob pitching the mighty from their seats.

By Paul Goodman | 8 January 2019 at 6:40 am | 75 comments

Universal Credit. Noble aim, thorny problems – and Rudd’s decision. If the scheme is to work properly, it must be paid for.

If you appoint Duncan Smith to the post she now holds, as Cameron did in 2010, it follows that you must fund his plan fully.

By Paul Goodman | 7 January 2019 at 6:40 am | 87 comments

Testing our survey against the latest polling of Party members. New evidence on Next Tory Leader.

Johnson has topped an ESRC poll, as he did our last survey. Its findings are even better for Brexiteers than ours were.

By Paul Goodman | 6 January 2019 at 5:00 am | 175 comments

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