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This May speech was aimed at the EU27 – not her own party. And its message was: I want to have my cherries and eat them.

Hardish in principle, softer in detail, she is crafting a position intended to get those elusive trade talks going as soon as possible.

By Paul Goodman | 2 March 2018 at 6:00 pm | 182 comments

Tax reform offers the Government a rare opportunity to make real policy changes

Our mini-series this week revealed points of broad consensus and points of approaching conflict on the centre right in terms of how the tax burden is distributed.

By Mark Wallace | 2 March 2018 at 4:00 pm | 9 comments

No change in our Next Tory Leader survey result. Rees-Mogg is top – then Gove, then Johnson.

Meanwhile, 51 per cent of respondents believe that Theresa May should resign as Party leader before the next election.

2 March 2018 at 6:40 am | 210 comments

Rejoice! At long last, the day-to-day Government finances are in surplus.

It’s later than Osborne planned, but good news nonetheless. Now Hammond must hold the course, and resist siren calls to start splashing the cash.

By Mark Wallace | 1 March 2018 at 3:40 pm | 90 comments

The Brexit negotiation. Raindrops keep falling on May’s head. But that doesn’t mean her eyes will soon be turning red.

Yes, the negotiation may break down. But some of the playing to the gallery has a ritual element about it, not unlike the staged theatrics of all-in wrestling.

By Paul Goodman | 1 March 2018 at 6:40 am | 488 comments

Andrew Gimson’s PMQs sketch: Corbyn rides madly off in all directions

May sounded unusually confident, but Johnson scuttled out of the Chamber.

By Andrew Gimson | 28 February 2018 at 1:57 pm | 23 comments

Our survey. Eight in ten party members oppose membership of a customs union with the EU

Some will not understand the technical arcana, but they will have grasped a point none the less: taking back control of our trade policy.

By Paul Goodman | 28 February 2018 at 6:50 am | 256 comments

Our survey. Party members overwhelmingly oppose the Norway option. The majority against a Swiss model is less emphatic.

Whatever you think of the latter idea, it can’t fairly be said that, in the minds of a significant tranche of Party members, the door to it is firmly closed.

By Paul Goodman | 27 February 2018 at 6:40 am | 174 comments

Should the UK join EFTA? The ConHome monthly survey is out.

Plus: should we join a customs union which replicates the EU Customs Union? And our usual Cabinet League Table and Next Tory Leader questions.

By Paul Goodman | 26 February 2018 at 6:40 am | 124 comments

Williamson’s new defence policy will be meaningless without funding

It’s one thing to recognise the long-term threats posed by states such as Russia, quite another to meet them.

By Henry Hill | 24 February 2018 at 8:00 am | 119 comments

The Chequers summit agrees the Davis solution

What was sketched out yesterday, boiled down to essentials, sounds a lot like his Canada Plus Plus Plus. But no decision yet it seems on the Customs Union.

By Paul Goodman | 23 February 2018 at 7:50 am | 257 comments

As May’s top team met at Chequers, Brains for Brexit launched in London

Robert Tombs asked at yesterday evening’s meeting if Tony Blair, Ken Clarke and Peter Mandelson really want us to enter a United States of Europe.

By Andrew Gimson | 23 February 2018 at 6:40 am | 116 comments

Future governments will rue May’s capitulation over post-Brexit devolved powers

The Prime Minister, despite her personal unionism, is setting a course for stormy constitutional waters. It will fall to her successors to navigate them.

By Henry Hill | 22 February 2018 at 4:00 pm | 61 comments

Today’s Brexit summit. We must be Ready On Day One to leave transition and the Customs Union on time.

Cabinet differences on policy are resolvable within the framework that May has already set. Practical preparation is the real Achilles Heel.

By Paul Goodman | 22 February 2018 at 6:40 am | 244 comments

Andrew Gimson’s PMQs sketch: Corbyn amuses the wintry Milne, but May has the last laugh

The Prime Minister told one good joke and then bored her way to victory.

By Andrew Gimson | 21 February 2018 at 2:09 pm | 37 comments

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