It’s much the same story in our final Next Tory Leader survey of 2018. Boris Johnson is top with more than double the score of the man who stays second – Sajid Javid. The Home Secretary continues narrowly to fend off Dominic Raab, who stays third.
Last month, Johnson was on 24 per cent. He moves up a bit to 27 per cent. Javid puts on a point to come in at 13 per cent. Raab does likewise and is now on 12 per cent.
David Davis drops from ten per cent to seven per cent. Jeremy Hunt is up from seven per cent to nine per cent, and displaces Davis in fourth place.
But the snapshot picture is that there are three contenders in double figures, one well ahead of the other two – and a very long tail of names in single figures, to which we must add Esther McVey, new in the table this month.
Footnote: Theresa May can’t now be challenged via a confidence ballot for the best part of a year, so as a courtesy we’ve suspended a question we’ve asked since July last year – namely, if she should resign as Party leader and when.
However, it would be foolhardy to assume that she will necessarily be in place in twelve months’ time or earlier. So the Next Tory Leader question stays pertinent.