Today, the Commons debates a Labour Opposition Day motion, cast in the form of a Humble Address, which seeks to compel the Government to publish in full the legal advice relating to any Brexit deal.
The European Research Group has tabled an amendment to it calling instead for a “full, reasoned position statement laying out the government’s political and legal position”. In other words, it doesn’t go so far, in terms of demand for disclosure, as the Labour motion.
On the one hand, it may be that this form of words, which up to 40 Conservative MPs are apparently prepared to back in the lobbies, is inconvenient to the Government.
On the other, it could also be that Downing Street is prepared to live with the ERG’s amendment, and that it and the ERG have come to an accommodation.
Of course, it may be that the ERG amendment is not selected for debate. In which case, it will be interesting to see whether or not the ERG votes with Labour – assuming, of course, that all its members act as one.
Our best guess us that for as long as the Prime Minister is not seeking to sign off a Brexit deal to which much of her Cabinet is resistant – which seems to be where we are this morning – the ERG will be inclined to stay its hand.