• Conservatives: 43 per cent.
  • Labour: 39 per cent.
  • LibDems: 8 per cent.

(YouGov, February 8)

  • Conservatives: 41 per cent.
  • Labour: 40 per cent.
  • LibDems: 8 per cent.

(ICM, February 6)

  • Labour: 43 per cent.
  • Conservatives: 40 per cent.
  • LibDems: 8 per cent.

(Survation, February 6)

  • Conservatives: 42 per cent.
  • Labour: 42 per cent.
  • LibDems: 6 per cent.

(YouGov, February 2)

– – –

By the mid-1990s, the last time the Conservatives were governing without an effective majority, the Party had gained a reputation for mismanaging the economy, Tony Blair was Labour leader, and the Opposition enjoyed huge poll leads.

A brief glance at this month’s opinion polls to date, as the Commons breaks for a long recess, helps to explain why Tory MPs have been resisting media and some internal pressure for a leadership challenge.

For all Theresa May’s go-slow on Brexit policy, and the Government’s lack of legislative impetus, the Conservative poll ratings are at levels that David Cameron yearned for…and growth figures for the economy have been upgraded.

Finally, Jeremy Corbyn is no Blair.  His leadership of Labour is dividing the country into two unarmed electoral camps.  It looks as though only an economic slowdown could start to move voters from the blue column to the red one in substantial numbers.

8.30am update: We have another Tory poll lead from Opinium in the Observer. Conservatives 42 per cent, Labour 39 per cent, LibDems 6 per cent.

108 comments for: The stubborn resilience of the Conservatives in the opinion polls

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