That’s a total of 59 per cent expecting a Conservative-led government after the next election.
Here are the comparable figures for each month since we revised the survey in July.
December
- Conservative majority: 46 per cent.
- Minority Conservative Government: 15 per cent.
- Conservative-led coalition: 7 per cent.
Total: 68 per cent.
November
- Conservative majority: 44 per cent.
- Minority Conservative Government: 14 per cent.
- Conservative-led coalition: 10 per cent.
Total: 68 per cent.
October
- Conservative majority: 39 per cent.
- Minority Conservative Government: 15 per cent.
- Conservative-led coalition: 8 per cent.
Total: 62 per cent.
September
- Conservative majority: 38 per cent.
- Minority Conservative Government: 15 per cent.
- Conservative-led coalition: 8 per cent.
Total: 61 per cent
August
- Conservative majority: 47 per cent.
- Minority Conservative Government: 15 per cent.
- Conservative-led coalition: 7 per cent.
Total: 69 per cent
July
- Conservative majority: 45 per cent.
- Minority Conservative Government: 14 per cent.
- Conservative-led coalition: 7 per cent.
Total: 66 per cent
While this isn’t a collapse – the total was only two points higher in September and three in October – it is a sharp fall since last month. The reasons are obvious and there is no need to describe them.