Last month, we noted “the persistence of Party members’ view of May’s leadership and the next election“.

The proportion of respondents saying that she should not announce her resignation as Party leader, either now or before the next election, has been –

  • 27 per cent (June).
  • 36 per cent (July).
  • 37 per cent (August).
  • 30 per cent (September).
  • 35 per cent (October).
  • 35 per cent (November).

So 39 per cent – nearly two in five repliers – is a post-election high.

Meanwhile, the total of those believing that the Prime Minister should not lead the Conservatives into the next election, and that she should resign as Party leader either now or before it happens, is 59 per cent.  This compares with the following figures –

  • 71 per cent (June).
  • 62 per cent (July).
  • 61 per cent (August).
  • 65 per cent (September).
  • 64 per cent (October).
  • 62 per cent (November).

So that 59 per cent also represents a post-election low.

As ever, readers will reach their own conclusions on reasons for this small, indeed marginal, improvement in Theresa May’s rating for this question.  In our view, our finding of strong support for her recent EU deal among Party members provide part of the explanation.

That said, to have about three in five of those members still suggesting that she should stand down before the next election is not a great result for Downing Street.