One of the reasons that Theresa May is slowly recovering in our monthly survey, when we ask in effect if she should lead the Conservatives into the next election, is the absence of potential challengers with strong support.
As last month, Jacob Rees-Mogg leads our table – if one discounts “none of the above” – with Michael Gove coming second. The former’s rating is almost exactly the same as in November, while Gove’s two-point rise is within the margin of error.
The survey went out before Damian Green left the Cabinet, and we will use his departure as an opportunity to spring-clean the table a little next month.
But for the moment, our take is that our panel of Party members is waiting to see what happens next, and suspending judgement as the political cycle and the Brexit negotiations continue.