150706 Result of the next election

Shortly before 7th May, when we inquired about party members’ expectations for the election, the mood was rather uncertain. 72.7 per cent of respondents reckoned that David Cameron would return to Downing Street in one way or another – but only 20.1 per cent thought it would be by a majority.

In the two surveys we’re held since 7th May, things have certainly perked up. Now 93.9 per cent think that the Conservatives will return to power at the next election, but only 10.5 per cent expect this to be in either a minority or coalition government. An indomitable 83.5 per cent now predict a majority. The above graph illustrates this change quite adequately.

It’s almost as though something happened on 7th May to make party members more optimistic.