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Yes, a great night for UKIP. But what will matter most next May is the marginals.

Which of the three main parties will it put over the line in these seats – and which, if any, could it win itself?

By Paul Goodman | 10 October 2014 at 8:00 am | 195 comments

Meet John Manzoni, the new guardian of Civil Service reform

Or is he? Much will depend on how much support this businessman within Whitehall gets from No.10.

By Peter Hoskin | 9 October 2014 at 8:25 am | 12 comments

The Conservatives have a good chance of winning Rochester and Strood

Mark Reckless, the UKIP candidate in Rochester, is nothing like as popular as Douglas Carswell is in Clacton.

By Andrew Gimson | 8 October 2014 at 7:00 am | 116 comments

The newspapers discover freedom and the risks of snooping powers, at last

The Sun and the Mail on Sunday have been targeted using RIPA, a measure they once supported. It’s time to strike a new balance between freedom and security.

By Mark Wallace | 7 October 2014 at 8:30 am | 60 comments

Clegg got lucky in 2010 – a 2015 coalition negotiation will be a much tougher business

Like a gambler who won big on his first flutter, the Lib Dem leader is overconfident. In reality, his hand is weak.

By Mark Wallace | 6 October 2014 at 8:15 am | 125 comments

Five reasons Rochester and Strood can be won

The campaign is yet to start, Reckless is no hero and grassroots Tories are up for the fight. It’s all to play for.

By Mark Wallace | 5 October 2014 at 9:56 am | 121 comments

International institutions should not equate membership with morality

We must stop conflating international institutions with the ideals they profess to uphold, for the former rarely live up to the latter.

By Henry Hill | 4 October 2014 at 4:00 pm | 41 comments

Is UKIP set to damage Labour more than the Conservatives?

Fascinating research from the Fabian Society.

By Paul Goodman | 4 October 2014 at 7:00 am | 155 comments

Grayling takes the Conservatives to the brink of ECHR exit – a giant step away from Europe

Macmillan and Heath and Thatcher (in government, anyway) went one way. Now Cameron is going the other.

By Paul Goodman | 3 October 2014 at 7:00 am | 150 comments

Are press cheerleaders for Cameron’s tax cuts being fiscal hypocrites?

How do we answer charges that if Miliband announced a policy like this he would be accused of gross irresponsibility?

By Tim Montgomerie | 2 October 2014 at 4:39 pm | 73 comments

As today’s headlines show, Cameron is winning over the press

The near-clean sweep of this morning’s papers shows remarkable success in persuading those who haven’t always been kind to him.

By Mark Wallace | 2 October 2014 at 1:01 pm | 61 comments

The Conservatives should help poorer taxpayers first

The 40p tax reduction plan fits uneasily both with deficit reduction and smart politics.

By Paul Goodman | 2 October 2014 at 8:32 am | 90 comments

Conservatives – The Grown-Up Party. Not the snappiest election slogan. But a truthful one.

David Cameron’s Party has one big advantage over the core vote targeting of Labour and UKIP.

By Paul Goodman | 1 October 2014 at 1:49 pm | 39 comments

Full text of David Cameron’s Party Conference speech

“You never pull one person up by pulling another one down”

1 October 2014 at 1:37 pm | 20 comments

The immigration question: all agree that there are no easy answers

Or at least Owen Paterson MP, Sunder Katwala, Mark Field MP and Isabel Oakeshott agree on that. They were speaking at one of our fringe events.

By Andrew Gimson | 1 October 2014 at 11:30 am | 46 comments

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