By Tim Montgomerie
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On Friday and Saturday more than 1,500 Tory members answered a special survey on what Cameron should say in his Europe speech. Here are the results (also featured in The Times (£))…
When is the ideal time to hold a referendum?
- In this Parliament, on or before the date of the June 2014 European parliamentary elections: 48%
- On the day of the next general election: 16%
- Sometime in the next parliament – after the Prime Minister has attempted to renegotiate Britain's relationship with Europe and after the immediate economic crisis has passed: 26%
- I do not support a referendum at all: 9%
What is the best way of reassuring the British people that the Conservative Party will hold a referendum about Britain's relationship with Europe? YOU MAY TICK AS MANY AS YOU AGREE WITH.
- A simple manifesto commitment will be enough: 18%
- The Prime Minister should announce a specific date for the referendum and promise to resign if a referendum is not held on that day: 50%
- It should be held on the day of the next general election: 19%
- Legislation should be introduced in this parliament, establishing the timing and nature of the promised referendum: 57%
- I do not support a referendum: 9%
Which of the following options for referenda do you support? TICK AS MANY AS APPLY.
- A referendum in this parliament that would give the British government a mandate to negotiate a new relationship with Europe, based on trade and political cooperation: 46%
- A referendum in the next parliament which would ratify any new Treaty or send the government back to the negotiating table: 20%
- A referendum in the next parliament which would give the British people the choice of staying in the European Union (perhaps on a renegotiated basis) or leaving: 61%
- I do not support a referendum: 10%
Please say which of the following options most appeals to you:
- Britain becomes a fuller member of a deeper European Union: 4%
- Britain's relationship with the European Union stays the same: 2%
- Britain wins some powers back from the European Union but remains a member: 16%
- Britain wins a common market relationship with the European Union: 40%
- Britain leaves the European Union altogether: 38%
What is the MAIN reason that David Cameron is making a big speech on Europe?
- Because he wants Britain to have a fundamentally different relationship with Europe: 8%
- Because he wants some limited changes to Britain's relationship with Europe: 8%
- Because he needs to respond to the growing Euroscepticism within the Conservative Party and within the electorate: 85%.
That 85% answer to the last question is a shocker.