By Paul Goodman
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Jim Pickard of the Financial Times has published a piece of which the first four words of the headline are "record low turnout expected".
The Electoral Reform Society has predicted a turnout of 18.5 per cent.
Over at YouGov, Anthony Wells predicts that "the actual proportion of people who turn out to vote on Thursday is likely to be much lower" than the 28% who told the pollster they would.
Some political journalists asked readers how it was all going where they lived, and have been retweeting answers reporting near-empty polling stations.
I maintain that the real test of whether police commissioners are workable will be what voters think after a term of them – and when elections are held in a spring.