According to a source inside The Guardian the Conservative lead in tomorrow's ICM poll is down by 2% (since the recent Sunday Telegraph/ ICM poll) to 9%.

This is in line with The Sunday Times' YouGov poll which also showed a surprising narrowing of the Conservative advantage.

I say "surprising" because I expected the negative press coverage to hurt Labour but the attack on bankers might be even more potent than expected.

Full numbers as soon as we get them.

Tim Montgomerie

The numbers are:


Comparisons are with the most recent ICM poll.

More on the Guardian website.

Jonathan Isaby