The headline numbers point to a Conservative majority of 122 but it will be the economic competence numbers that most encourage the Tory leadership:

"When asked to put their party allegiance aside and name the party they trusted most to steer Britain through the crisis, 35 per cent opt for the Tory team of David Cameron and George Osborne, 28 per cent for Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling and nine per cent for the Liberal Democrats’ Nick Clegg and Vince Cable."

Memo to Obama: Enjoy your time with Brown but know that he ain’t going to be about for long.

Tim Montgomerie