A YouGov poll for tomorrow’s Sun newspaper puts the parties on the following percentages:

Comparisons are with the last pre-Christmas YouGov poll.

The Sun report suggests that these figures would leave David Cameron 36 seats short of a majority. However, the UK Polling Report swing calculator computes that the Tories would only be 13 seats short of a majority on these figures, whilst Electoral Calculus suggests that David Cameron would be 9 seats short of a majority.