When we publish the results of the ConservativeHome monthly polls we focus on the views of party members although non-member Tory voters and others also take part. Far fewer ‘Tory voters’ (as I will call them – I know members vote too!) take part than members. In the most recent poll, for example, 1,495 members gave their opinions but only 233 voters. Another 319 people voted of different political affiliations and none. The ratio of members to voters has been pretty constant since we started polling in November 2005. This post compares some recent survey results for members and voters.
WHO SHOULD BE THE NEXT PARTY CHAIRMAN?
- 57% of members said Eric Pickles. 43% of voters said Eric Pickles.
- 14% of members said Caroline Spelman. 14% of voters said Caroline Spelman.
- 5% of members didn’t know. 10% of voters didn’t know.
FULL SHADOW CABINET RATINGS
- The top three shadow cabinet ministers for members were: Eric Pickles, Chris Grayling then William Hague.
- The top three for voters were William Hague, Eric Pickles then Chris Grayling.
- Again don’t knows were generally much higher. 45% of members have no opinion, for example, of David Mundell. That rises to 61% for voters.
SATISFACTION WITH DAVID CAMERON
- 52% of members are quite satisfied with David Cameron; 35% very satisfied.
- 40% of quite voters are satisfied; 32% very satisfied.
A RETURN FOR KEN CLARKE?
- 50% of members support a return; 41% oppose a return.
- 55% of voters support a return; 43% oppose a return.
- Unusually fewer don’t knows among voters.
SHOULD BRITAIN JOIN THE EURO?
- 65% of members say ‘never’; 62% of voters.
GROWTH IN PUBLIC SPENDING
- 77% of Tory members supported slower growth in public spending then planned by Labour.
- 73% of voters supported slower growth.
And finally I found one poll result where voters were markedly different from members…
MARGARET THATCHER’S LEGACY
- 74% of members believed that the legacy of Thatcherism has been positive for the party.
- 90% of voters thought the same.
Theories explaining the last result are very welcome!