A new YouGov poll for tomorrow’s Daily Telegraph has the Conservative lead rising by one point to seven points.


According to the UK Polling Report swing calculator, this would leave David Cameron nine seats short of an overall majority – although this does not take account of the fact that there will hopefully be some additional Conservatives among the 18 MPs from Northern Ireland.

The survey was conducted between Tuesday and Thursday and the comparisons are with the most recent YouGov poll for the Sunday Times which had a 6% Conservative lead.  The equivalent Telegraph/YouGov poll last month showed a Tory lead of 4%.

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