This has just appeared on the PoliticsHome website:

"PoliticsHome predict a Conservative majority of 146:

  • Largest ever study of marginal seats
  • In an election now Labour would suffer a 1997 scale defeat
  • 8 cabinet ministers would lose their seats
  • Three figure majority for David Cameron

An exclusive PoliticsHome study of marginal seats,using an unprecedented sample of almost 35,000 people over 238 marginalconstituencies and based on fieldwork carried out by YouGov, gives us the bestever idea of what would happen if a general election were held now."

There’s too much information to process quickly but these results of polling in LibDem/ Tory marginals should be enough to get your juices flowing:


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