Over at CentreRight Dan Hamilton notes that John McCain is 5% ahead in a new poll of likely voters.  In RealClearPolitics’ poll of polls the Obama lead is down to just 1.3%.  Dan quotes the opinion of pollster John Zogby: "McCain has changed the dynamic of the race heading into the two conventions. That puts more pressure on Obama to go to Denver and effectively define himself and McCain.”

Which got us thinking… does the order of conventions/ conferences matter?  The Democrats always go first in American politics.  Labour always meet before us in the UK Party Conference calendar.  Is there an advantage in getting there first and defining the agenda (having the first penalty kick and putting the pressure on the team that follows) or is there a bigger advantage in having the last word (as Cameron did (spectacularly) last year)?  Or is there no advantage in timing at all?

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