That’s the conclusion of a YouGov poll for this morning’s Telegraph.
These hypothetical match-up polls have to be taken with a large helping of salt, of course. Voters know Tony Blair but not James Purnell, for example. Polls in 2005 didn’t suggest that a relatively unknown David Cameron would help the Conservatives very much compared to big beasts like Ken Clarke. But as the leadership process wore on a big lead for Clarke… started to evaporate.
The poll also finds that a whopping 77% of voters do not think Brown is up to the job of being PM.
The Conservatives have a 47% to 25% lead overall but The Telegraph hasn’t published a number for the LibDems. When we get a number for the LibDems we’ll publish the usual poll graphic.