An ICM survey for tomorrow’s Sunday Telegraph shows that the political situation is tightening but not as worryingly as a MORI and previous ICM poll had suggested.
If translated into seats at a General Election, the ICM poll would put the Tories on 273 seats; 19 fewer than Labour.
In tomorrow’s newspapers there is set to be a great deal about MPs (particularly Tory MPs) and allowances. In moves to distract attention from sleaze and in order to regain some hare-like momentum, David Davis and George Osborne are both making significant announcements:
We’ll have more detail on both of those sets of proposals tomorrow.
The 21% rating for the Liberal Democrats in the ICM poll is a warning to the Conservatives that voters unhappy with Labour do have a choice of alternative parties. They can also sit on their hands. As the Conservative Party looks to attract (1) voters floating between the parties and (2) voters floating between voting and non-voting it has a number of policy options. ICM asked about a few of those options and the desirability of those options is summarised in the graphic below:
Two immediate comments on the above findings: