Listed below are the net satisfaction ratings for 27 members of the shadow cabinet. The numbers are calculated by subtracting the number of dissatisfied Tory members from the number of satisfied members. The numbers shown are for end-August, end-September and, in bold, end-October:
- William Hague +76% | +71% | +84%
- David Davis +79% | +78% | +83%
- George Osborne +24% | +7% | +79%
- Liam Fox +49% | +46% | +65%
- Michael Gove +40% | +30% | +53%
- Lord Strathclyde +43% | +40% | +48%
- Alan Duncan +40% | +28% | +47%
- Chris Grayling +36% | +29% | +47%
- Andrew Lansley +20% | +24% | +43%
- Nick Herbert +19% | +19% | +38%
- Eric Pickles +31% | +27% | +38%
- Philip Hammond +17% | +14% | +36%
- Patrick McLoughlin +9% | +2% | +27%
- Pauline Neville-Jones +15% | +11% | +25%
- Caroline Spelman +34% | +27% | +24%
- Jeremy Hunt +10% | +7% | +19%
- Andrew Mitchell +10% | +5% | +19%
- Oliver Letwin -6% | -14% | +17%
- Peter Ainsworth +8% | +3% | +16%
- Owen Paterson +10% | +9% | +16%
- Cheryl Gillan +3% | +3% | +10%
- Theresa Villers +7% | +5% | +9%
- Theresa May +8% | +2% | +6%
- David Willetts -1% | -14% | +3%
- Francis Maude -10% | -16% | -2%
- David Mundell -6% | -11% | -3%
- Sayeeda Warsi -20% | -14% | -4%
A few observations:
- Despite some concerns over the EU Treaty and what to do if it is ratified, William Hague is back at the top of the shadow cabinet league. His 1% net advantage over David Davis actually understates his advantage. Of those that are satisfied with William Hague, 63% are very satisfied, 28% fairly satisfied, 4% fairly dissatisfied and 3% very dissatisfied. For David Davis there are fewer "very satisfieds"; 49% are very satisfied, 41% fairly satisfied, 5% fairly dissatisfied and 2% very dissatisfied.
- During the gloomy end-September period those shadow cabinet ministers most associated with David Cameron fell furthest: George Osborne, Michael Gove, Alan Duncan, Oliver Letwin and David Willetts. They have also recovered the most in the end-October survey. Oliver Letwin and George Osborne most noticeably.
- Sayeeda Warsi may still be at the bottom of the table but she is showing signs of turning that round. Her support grew even in the September doldrums and she is steadily converting some dissatisfieds.
- The only shadow cabinet minister to see their rating fall from the end of September to the end of October was Caroline Spelman. Her rating is more positive than that of her predecessor, Francis Maude, when he was Party Chairman, but Caroline Spelman’s standing is slowly eroding.
Related link: David Cameron’s ratings bounceback to new high