Radio 4’s World at One has just reported that a Plaid-Tory-LibDem coalition is "90% likely" to govern Wales. If this emerges both Wales and Scotland will have nationalist first ministers. Welsh Tory leader Nick Bourne (who blogs here) has long hoped to put his Tory group into a grand coalition but that hope only became feasible when Mike German AM pulled out of talks to put his LibDem group into coalition with Rhodri Morgan’s Welsh Labour party.
"I can confirm today that an approach has been made by Plaid Cymru for preliminary discussions about the possible form of the next Assembly government. I can also confirm that preliminary talks have already taken place. The stability and credibility of the Assembly, and the delivery of policies that will make a positive difference to the lives of people across Wales remain our key concerns. Welsh Conservatives have always said that we would be willing to work in government with parties other than Labour to achieve that."
The Conservatives have 12 AMs, Labour 26, Plaid 15 and the LibDems 6.