A new ICM poll in tomorrow’s Guardian suggests that the Tory lead is down to 2%.
All I will say at this point is what I said on 15th May:
"It will be sometime after the autumn’s party conference season before we can fully assess the impact of Gordon Brown on the political landscape. Only then will opinion polls be free of the distortive effect of the Labour leadership election and voters will have started to get the measure of a Gordon Brown premiership."
The hypothetical Tory lead widens to 8% when Brown is named as Labour leader and Cameron as Conservative leader.
More in the morning.