January’s Communicate Research survey for The Independent shows a big changearound in LibDem and Labour support. The LibDem rating is up 7% and Labour’s rating is down 8%. Mike Smithson at PoliticalBetting.com detects a possible change in methodology at Communicate Research.
The Tory lead of 6.25% in the ConservativeHome Poll of Polls looks the healthiest for some time.
Within the Communicate Research numbers we learn that the support of core Tory supporters is strongest. 82% of people who regard themselves as "natural Tories" intend to support David Cameron at the next General Election. The LibDems enjoy the support of 80% of their "natural supporters" but the Labour rating is just 64%. Yesterday’s rearrest of Lord Levy and Guido Fawkes’ probing of the Smith Institute as a "Brownite front" aren’t going to help that number. Iain Dale has produced a documentary on the Smith Institute for 18 Doughty Street – watch it here.