Recommendation 8: Next May’s Scottish and Welsh results are likely to be very difficult for the Conservative Party. David Cameron has improved the party’s opinion poll standing but progress in Wales and Scotland, in particular, is very limited and the party is unlikely to make significant gains. There is a danger that there may even be some defeats in Scotland. The party must act now to be able to show that it is making progress in parts of England where there will need to be progress at the General Election. That means targeting special resources on a few English councils where success can be celebrated on the morning after polling day. The model is Ken Baker’s 1990 tactic of focusing upon winning Wandsworth and Westminster boroughs in an otherwise difficult election year.
17 comments for: Year 2(8): Anticipate difficult results in next year’s Scottish and Welsh elections
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