A YouGov poll for The Daily Telegraph
provides comfort for the Conservative Party’s tax-cutters and for the
more cautious leadership team.

By 45% to 36% voters tend to believe that it
would not be possible to cut taxes by £21bn (the sum of relief recommended by the Forsyth Commission) without damaging the quality of Britain’s public services.  [Given that no party has been making the case for tax cuts that is actually quite an encouragingly small margin for the taxcutters to overcome].  People will be more inclined to believe that tax relief is affordable if they understood the extent of waste in the public sector.  Also in today’s Telegraph is news that the NHS is wasting more than £2bn every year and many would regard that as a conservative estimate.

Other YouGov findings are ammunition for those who believe that there there is a bedrock appetite for lower taxation:

  • More voters (28% to 14%) would be inclined to vote for a
    tax-cutting Tory party than would be less inclined (although it
    wouldn’t make any difference to half of voters);
  • 69% of voters think the tax system is unfair;
  • 61% think they pay too much in tax.

Taxpayers’ Alliance reaction to this poll: "Low-tax campaigns have to focus on how tax cuts benefit ordinary families, not concepts like "the economy" and certainly not businesses. The TPA’s recent opinion research programme showed clearly that the best argument in favour of lower taxes was the one that stressed how lower taxes would give people more money to spend on their own priorities. The research also showed that the tax cuts people were most in favour of were those which focused on ordinary families – raising the threshold at which people start paying top rate tax, abolishing / reforming inheritance tax etc."