The persistence of the Conservative Party’s post-May 4th lead over Labour is confirmed this morning by a YouGov survey for The Daily Telegraph. YouGov gives the Tories a 7% lead (up 1% on last month). All pollsters have given the Tories a similarly-sized advantage since 4th May.
There is a little bit of comfort for Gordon Brown in this poll. ICM recently found that the Tory lead doubled if Brown was Labour leader. YouGov, a month later, find David Cameron’s lead down by 1% with Brown was in charge.
This morning’s Times finds that Labour’s current parliamentary majority would be wiped out by a 1% swing. This finding – which underlines the increased danger of a hung parliament after the next General Election – reflects the positive impact of boundary changes on Tory prospects.