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During today we’ll be publishing the latest results of the ConservativeHome Members’ Panel:

Tomorrow we’ll compare the results of Tory supporters with those of Tory members.

From Monday 20th March the interesting answers given to the "what you think would be the best Conservative Party strategy against Gordon Brown?" open question will form the heart of a week dedicated to thinking about ‘Defeating Gordon Brown’.

1,316 Tory Members took part in the February survey compared to 1,351 in January.

SATISFACTION/ DISSATISFACTION WITH DAVID CAMERON

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ConservativeHome.com’s latest survey of Tory members shows that support for David Cameron remains broad but not quite as deep.  The total satisfied number is barely changed at 81% (compared to 82% in January) but the number "very satisfied" (coloured dark blue in the graphic above) has shrunk from 45% to 33%.

The number dissatisfied has increased very marginally – from 16% to 18%.  The dark red colour indicates "very dissatisfied" – the light red number represents the "fairly dissatisfied".

LIKELIHOOD OF DAVID CAMERON BECOMING PRIME MINISTER AT NEXT ELECTION

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Compared to the January survey there has been a 10% decline in the number of members expecting Mr Cameron to be Prime Minister after the next General Election.  77% thought it "very likely" (dark green) or "fairly likely" (light green) that Mr Cameron would be PM in the January survey.  That number is down to 67% in the February survey.

More details of these numbers and questions on party modernisation and right track/ wrong track can be read in this PDF.

NEXT FINDING: Hague is favourite shadow cabinet member (and getting more so)

64 comments for: Support for David Cameron remains as broad – but not as deep

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