Wanted: an international solution to the plight of the Hong Kongers

Three million of them are unlikely to pitch up here, but government must plan for all eventualities – and support for its plan wouldn’t survive a mass influx.

Phillipa Stroud: Coronavirus has hit those in poverty hardest. The Government must support employment, fast.

The next step is for a commission to be established that can develop solutions to the current inequalities we have seen.

Polling snapshot. Coming out of lockdown, Starmer’s election and disillusion with the Government are returning us to politics as normal.

There is no evidence from the poll of polls that the Dominic Cummings affair speeded up what has been a steady Tory decline since mid-April.

Cummings 1) At a stroke, the row has weakened the authority of the lockdown

If so much, as Ministers suggest, depends on common sense, nuance, context and common sense, people will draw the inevitable conclusion.

Iain Dale: Boulton is wrong. I criticise as well as praise the Government – without fear or favour. And here’s evidence.

Plus: Shapps’ presentational success and Hancock’s stuck tests. And: whatever Johnson says on Sunday, he’ll be damned either way.

Trust in the BBC hasn’t collapsed – but it can’t afford to ignore the creeping rot of polarisation

Both sides must recognise that the Corporation as a whole can be performing well whilst its political coverage alienates Conservatives.

We hope and expect Johnson will be back by May 8. But if he isn’t, Raab must lead in easing the lockdown.

The art will be to do so in such a way that the NHS can cope with a rise in admissions. And social distancing for the most vulnerable must remain in place.

James Frayne: Public opinion on the lockdown is a rapidly ticking timebomb

If employers consider themselves to be heading for catastrophe, it suggests that the wider public will catch up before too long.

A good election for the pollsters, but most still under-estimated the Tories

The result will probably offer some respite to an industry which has previously come in for a lot of flak from certain quarters for misrepresenting the state of the race.

Henry Hill: YouGov lowers its Tory expectations in Wales and Scotland – but other sources disagree

The Welsh Political Barometer, for example, forecasts a great night for the Conservatives. They can’t both be right.

Red Swan…or Tory landslide…or…

All in all, a Conservative win is still the most likely result.  But if the YouGov MRP, the Ashcroft dashboard and other polls are accurate, it is less likely than it was.

ConHome’s election panel. “The Conservatives should be obsessing about contrast – not just on Brexit, but other wedge issues too.”

Each week, our panel of James Frayne, Marcus Roberts, Trevor Phillips, and Salma Shah will will analyse and assess what’s happening.

Mark Francois: I urge Leavers to vote Tory – so gaining Brexit, preparing for free trade and smashing Marxism. All at once.

We now have the most amazing opportunity to deliver an emphatic victory over Corbyn’s extremists – and achieve Brexit into the bargain.

The campaign, week four. Johnson pushes upwards but so does Corbyn.

The move back to two party politics of 2017 seems to be repeating itself this time round.

The Conservatives must resist any temptation to get greedy in which seats they target

At the last election strong early poll leads seduced them into shifting resources from marginals into far more hostile territory, with disastrous results.