The Welsh Political Barometer, for example, forecasts a great night for the Conservatives. They can’t both be right.
Posts Tagged: YouGov
All in all, a Conservative win is still the most likely result. But if the YouGov MRP, the Ashcroft dashboard and other polls are accurate, it is less likely than it was.
ConHome’s election panel. “The Conservatives should be obsessing about contrast – not just on Brexit, but other wedge issues too.”
Each week, our panel of James Frayne, Marcus Roberts, Trevor Phillips, and Salma Shah will will analyse and assess what’s happening.
Mark Francois: I urge Leavers to vote Tory – so gaining Brexit, preparing for free trade and smashing Marxism. All at once.
We now have the most amazing opportunity to deliver an emphatic victory over Corbyn’s extremists – and achieve Brexit into the bargain.
The move back to two party politics of 2017 seems to be repeating itself this time round.
At the last election strong early poll leads seduced them into shifting resources from marginals into far more hostile territory, with disastrous results.
Their MRP projection has the Scottish Nationalists picking up several seats, often by narrow margins, which would surprise those on the ground.
We say again that there is a danger of Conservative expectations getting ahead of the electoral facts.
Neil O’Brien: There are still weeks to go, but for backbenchers like me, campaign 2019 feels much, much better than 2017
The campaign feels better run, including online. People massively prefer Boris Johnson to Corbyn. The question is whether it is enough
Plus: We Conservatives have a chance to unite, but don’t take an election win for granted. And: the radicalism of Gavin Williamson.
Do voters distrust Johnson on the healthcare? Sure. But Labour is no longer seen as “the party of the NHS”, either.
The latter’s NHS myth is fading as time passes, and younger people bring their consumer viewpoint to their use of public services.
The fundamental mistake of the Brexiteers domestically is that they have mistaken a moral argument for a political one.
Patrick Spencer: What the new Government should do to ensure migrants are better skilled – and supported
The Centre for Social Justice (CSJ) is today releasing a report that brings a level-headedness to the debate that is sorely needed.
Today’s polls reveal some interesting things about the early days of Johnson’s premiership – and hint at the battles to come.
It found Johnson on 67 per cent, Hunt on 29 per cent and “Other” on four per cent. Our next two surveys were closer to a YouGov poll.