May’s view had no impact on the polls. It was only later after the Conservative manifesto was published that our poll numbers begun to deteriorate.
Labour do less well when figures are based on information about who has probably turned out to vote are used. The party’s turnout, then, will be crucial to the result.
Continuing our series on the key contests in each region and nation.
The professor broadly identifies a number of distortions, which left unchallenged, can result in unhelpful twisted thinking.
ConHome pressed for more seats to select sooner – it seems CCHQ has listened.