Lord Ashcroft: My Northern Ireland polling shows a swing to the Union. But nationalists feel events are heading their way.

Among those who are set to vote for a party in the Assembly elections, we find Sinn Féin in the lead.

Poots and Faulkner

Unlike the former Ulster Unionist leader, the new DUP one is set to stick with his voter and party base. But you never know.

Loyalist alienation

Political leadership is needed in Belfast no less than in London – in some respects, even more so.