It almost works

Were it not for the backstop, May’s deal would get over the line – with support from an overwhelming majority of Conservatives, including us.

Stalemate

May wins – but not by enough to break free from her internal opponents. Too strong to fall and too weak to win, she is, if anything, more exposed to them than before.

The 215 vote barrier for May

The danger zone is between about 105 to 120 or more votes against her – i.e: a slice more than a third of the vote.

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