How Vox Pub foresaw the Tory victory in England, but failed to predict defeat in Scotland

In vino veritas: talking to voters in pubs usually works. We saw how four of these five contests could be expected to play out.

Election Battlegrounds 6) The South West

The Tories and Liberal Democrats face off over a relatively small field of competitive seats, whilst an Independent seeks an upset in East Devon.

Vox pub: Cornish voters wonder whether they can trust the Prime Minister more than the Lib Dems

A fisherman from the Ajax, and other Leavers, want to know that Johnson will not let them down.

The Australian Liberals know who their target voters are. The Conservatives don’t seem to have a clue.

Amidst the gathering leadership election debate, there is a lack of focus on who such voters are and where they live.

Battleground Seats 1) The South West

We open a ConservativeHome series, which will run each Monday during the election campaign, on the key contests in each region

Battlegrounds Revisited 2) The South West

We continue our post-match inspection of our battleground profiles with the Liberal Democrat graveyard of the South West.

Lord Ashcroft: Clegg is two points behind Labour in Sheffield Hallam. My latest Lib Dem marginals polling.

The battlegrounds show a mix of results. But UKIP is down across the board.

The Election Battleground 2) The South West

The second piece in our series explores the intense struggles across the South West of England.

Lewis Baston: How the electoral landscape has changed since the 1964 election – over 50 years ago

The Conservatives are stronger in the new towns, weaker in some some suburbs and more concentrated in the South-East – the cause and effect of changes in the party.

Is UKIP set to damage Labour more than the Conservatives?

Fascinating research from the Fabian Society.

If UKIP voters switch in those Blue-Yellow marginals, they look more likely to vote Tory than LibDem

The average across these seats is: Rule Out Conservatives – 63 per cent; Rule out Labour – 75 per cent; Rule out LibDems – 74 per cent.