Progress in this chart is invariably linked to media coverage – of which the former Brexit Secretary has had lots recently and the former Foreign Secretary less.
And: Churchill-mania, Moggmania, and the passion of Rory Stewart. Plus: too many lobbyists.
No other entrant has more than ten per cent of the vote, though Hunt is almost there.
One can conjure up the names of former Ministers, present Ministers and backbenchers. But only one of them presently sits at the Cabinet table.
Javid retains second place and drifts down slightly. For the moment, these two are only game in town – at least, as far as our panel is concerned.
It’s the Chequers factor – as Gove falls from second to fifth. Javid remains competitive on 19 per cent, coming second this month.
No clearer signal could be sent that the Haltemprice and Howden MP is out on his own. But the promotion will lose Raab some friends even as it delivers a new gain in status.
Gove is second, “Other” third. It is an astonishing turnaround for a man who three months ago was languishing on a mere two per cent.
Plus: Damian Collins and his useless Select Committee shot themselves in the foot this week. Let grandstanding committee chairmen be warned.
Our latest Centre for Social Justice report – Desperate for a Fix – focuses on prolific drug-addicted people and proposes a new Second Chance Programme.
If, that is, you don’t count “Other”, which comes ahead of the Home Secretary but behind the two front-runners.
The Prisons Minister says reducing the numbers incarcerated for under a year “would be good for public safety, good for the individuals and good for the prison system”.
The survey went out as Javid replaced Rudd, and he has bounced up to become the only other person polled who gets into double figures.
The changes in the ratings of the top three are almost unchanged, another tribute to the consistency of the poll.
Amy Chua says they are blind to the decisive importance of tribal politics – an obliviousness which extends to America itself, and prepared the way for Trump.