All three parties have a middling band of targets – what leaps out is how so many Cameron-era gains now seem out of the Tories’ reach.
Posts Tagged: Richmond Park
What do voters in Richmond Park, Cambridge, and Finchley & Golders Green think about the Prime Minister, the Opposition, and the election?
The Australian Liberals know who their target voters are. The Conservatives don’t seem to have a clue.
Amidst the gathering leadership election debate, there is a lack of focus on who such voters are and where they live.
The point here is the electoral trade-off between what could plausibly happen in the capital and the provinces – with Corbyn entering Downing Street in consequence.
How bad is the prognosis for urban Conservatism? Will there be a fightback outside of London? Will the Liberal Democrats show signs of life? Some potential clues.
Activists were asked to trust in a targeting analysis that proved to be based on flawed data and assumptions that were overturned by the manifesto.
Richard Holden: How and why the LibDems went backwards in every English and Welsh seat they defended
With seven of their nine seats in England now held with majorities of less than eight per cent of the vote, the next election offers a chance to take them out for good.
It comes with a stipulation of its own. My constituency estimates, to adapt my 2015 mantra, are a probability, not a prediction.
Continuing our series on the key contests in each region and nation.
Shortlists for Westmorland & Lonsdale, and Birmingham Edgbaston. Plus selections including Barrow & Furness, Ealing Central & Acton, Clwyd South and more.
He now faces a battle royale to defeat the Liberal Democrat who unseated him back in December.
Zac Goldsmith, Luke Parker and Laura Farris will fight it out tomorrow night.
But if they defy the referendum result, they must also accept the consequences.
Plus: A telling speech by George Osborne, the pleasing election of Philip Davies. Reading the Morning Star, just for a laugh. And: Andy Carroll walks on water.
Their falling-out is an open wound that risks infection.