Progress in this chart is invariably linked to media coverage – of which the former Brexit Secretary has had lots recently and the former Foreign Secretary less.
Brady reports no confidence moves against May that might not be no confidence moves at all.
No other entrant has more than ten per cent of the vote, though Hunt is almost there.
If I were May, I’d be listening to activists at fringe events instead of beating to Whitehall’s hesitant drum.
In all, there are 30 new entries in the whole list, one down on last year and two down on the 2016 record of 33.
Javid retains second place and drifts down slightly. For the moment, these two are only game in town – at least, as far as our panel is concerned.
It’s the Chequers factor – as Gove falls from second to fifth. Javid remains competitive on 19 per cent, coming second this month.
Gove is second, “Other” third. It is an astonishing turnaround for a man who three months ago was languishing on a mere two per cent.
Mordaunt – like Patel before her – is effective, ambitious, and keenly aware that many Conservative voters are not natural fans of aid spending.
I’d relax the limits significantly if not totally, but insist on near real-time transparency from campaigns over their permitted donors.
The internal and external threats to the integrity of our elections have intensified, but the regulator responsible does not appear to have upped its game in response.
If, that is, you don’t count “Other”, which comes ahead of the Home Secretary but behind the two front-runners.
The survey went out as Javid replaced Rudd, and he has bounced up to become the only other person polled who gets into double figures.
That’s four Cabinet Ministers gone in less than a year since the election – Michael Fallon, Priti Patel, Damian Green…and now the Home Secretary.
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