Lord Ashcroft: My latest polling explores the tensions and controversies around the union and Northern Ireland’s border

Crucially, opinion is not just divided between Leave and Remain, but between the Province and the mainland.

James Frayne: England and Englishness, the powerful conundrum

New polling shows that national identity is a strong, emotive force – but also that it remains poorly-defined.

Rebecca Lowe: Women’s attitudes to the Conservatives – and vice-versa – are not what you may think

There are clearly questions about what’s happening in relation to voting, membership, and representation — and what the Party should or might want to do.

Henry Hill: May should not fall for the old ‘fragile Union’ con on Northern Ireland

Some remainers will not give up on the idea that the UK is about to fall apart, but the latest evidence of that from Ulster is threadbare at best.

Albie Amankona: Why now, more than ever, BAME Britons need to vote Conservative

One party cannot have a monopoly on BAME voters. Competition breeds excellence, and if we want excellent BAME policies, we need politicians competing for our votes.

Mildly-less-bad polling in London is a threat to Tory expectation management

It’s understandable to seek out any hints of better news – but there is no benefit in getting overly optimistic too early.

James Frayne: The polling shows that British voters harbour a deep suspicion of Putin and the Russian state

Foreign policy is rarely at the centre of our politics, but the electorate are now likely to judge potential leaders in part on their stance towards the Kremlin.

Even fans of the EU are getting fed up of its bullying approach to the Brexit talks

That’s unlikely to deter hardcore Remainers from egging Juncker et al on. But will it persuade Labour to stop working with Brussels against the UK negotiating position?

James Frayne: Six barriers to voting Tory

In trying to maximise the Party’s vote share, it’s essential that a proper audit of these barriers takes place (and others will no doubt think of some I have missed).

James Frayne: May is right to drop her vote on the hunting ban – it should never have been in the manifesto in the first place

At best, people don’t think about the issue. But as soon as they do, they overwhelmingly support the ban. A vote would have been hugely damaging.

New evidence of the harm done by the Conservative Party’s mismanagement of its own grassroots

Fresh research bolsters ConservativeHome’s case for a new Chairman and urgent Party reform – and offers a glimmer of hope.

James Frayne: Westminster’s reputation is already so poor that the harassment scandal won’t change voters’ opinions

The allegations are dreadful, and must be dealt with, but the grim truth is that few people will be surprised by them.

Lord Ashcroft: My public sector pay poll finds large majorities for lifting the cap

Most Labour voters think their party should support strike action if pay demands are not met, and most voters think private sector wages are higher.

What price democracy?

YouGov characterises those people who think democracy is more important than money as “extremists”.

James Frayne: Five reasons why lower middle class provincial voters are the key to a Tory victory

There are many seats in London that are also C1/C2 heavy: it is just that they are outer London seats.