Plus: What would it take to get the Cabinet leavers to resign? Clarke’s Maastricht Treaty Customs Union moment. And: in defence of Robbie Gibb.
Posts Tagged: Penny Mordaunt MP
Next Tory Leader. It’s Johnson first, Raab second and Gove third in our first survey since May’s pledge to quit.
Next time round, we will try run-offs between some of the main candidates, which are a bit ovedue.
Seven Cabinet Ministers. Half the Whips Office. Eleven Ministers. All these failed to back the Government in yesterday’s extension vote.
Now some of these MPs may have been ill, or absent, or abroad. But how many were slipped with the connivance of the system?
The 187 Tory MPs, including six Cabinet Ministers, who voted against the Prime Minister’s motion to extend Article 50
Almost two thirds of the parliamentary Conservative Party opposed it, alongside the DUP and a handful of others.
As a free vote, this may give us the clearest picture of the divisions at the very top of the Party over how to approach Brexit.
Our survey. Next Tory leader – Johnson is top again. Here’s why he’s in pole position with minimum effort.
It is striking how little the former Foreign Secretary is doing to maintain his lead. Then again, he scarcely needs to stir – for the moment.
If May backs a Brexit extension once, why wouldn’t she do so again? And U-turn on a second referendum too?
The words of Gordon Brown to Tony Blair echo in our ears. “There is nothing that you could say to me now that I could ever believe”.
Plus: Snubbed by a Remainer. Delighted for Beth Rigby. Tusk japes, May spooks, Francois almost self-combusts. And: is Brexit Brecksit or Breggsit?
The Chief Whip has enjoyed something of a boost from last month’s victories on crucial votes, but the overall picture reflects a settled disenchantment.
Our survey. Next Tory leader. Stasis as Johnson carries on leading amidst little expectation of change.
Although the Prime Minister’s position is fragile, there is no sense of a contest in the offing any time soon.
Neither is at all likely indeed to succeed May if they nod reluctant assent to any scheme to sign up to the Customs Union – which might not succeed in any event.
The biggest defeat in modern times and the largest Tory rebellion won’t stop her trying to resurrect her deal.
Nicky Morgan: Imperfect, certainly. But May’s plan avoids the twin perils of No Deal and No Brexit. The Commons should back it.
Supporting the deal would also prevent several other things – such as the possibibility of a truly socialist government taking over.
New polling also reveals that neither is so far ahead as to be unstoppable, however.
Johnson has topped an ESRC poll, as he did our last survey. Its findings are even better for Brexiteers than ours were.