Lord Ashcroft: My Northern Ireland polling shows a swing to the Union. But nationalists feel events are heading their way.

Among those who are set to vote for a party in the Assembly elections, we find Sinn Féin in the lead.

Iain Dale: Very little shocks me. But Cummings revealing the Prime Minister’s texts stinks.

Plus: Biden was the adult in the room at the G7. And: Why I support mandatory vaccinations for care home workers.

Henry Hill: Could the fallout from the Protocol yet split the DUP?

Poots has purged Foster’s old team and nominated an ex-spad as First Minister. These do not suggest confidence.