Those who still refuse to accept we’re really going to leave the EU are misreading the process, the politics, and the people.
Posts Tagged: Opinium
“The low point of the Conservative campaign has followed the manifesto launch,” we wrote. “The social care policy tanked, and Tory poll ratings fell with it.”
There is no point in any party piling up votes in its safer seats – assuming that voters vital to it, such as younger people in Labour’s case, turn out in large numbers in any event.
What will count most on election day is not so much how many votes are cast for each party, but how those votes are distributed across all constituencies.
The more likely Tory voters see headline figures like these, the less likely they are to turn out to vote.