Evidence suggests the Government needs to tackle people’s anxiety, not conspiracy theories.
Posts Tagged: Opinium
Never underestimate the power of Labour. Its message of helping the underdog and the poor is enduring, still popular and extremely potent.
Polling snapshot. Coming out of lockdown, Starmer’s election and disillusion with the Government are returning us to politics as normal.
There is no evidence from the poll of polls that the Dominic Cummings affair speeded up what has been a steady Tory decline since mid-April.
Today’s polls reveal some interesting things about the early days of Johnson’s premiership – and hint at the battles to come.
Henry Newman: The Tory poll collapse is nothing to do with May’s Withdrawal Agreement. MPs should vote for it – and deliver Brexit
A basic problem remains unaltered – that there is no Commons majority for a No Deal Brexit. This point has been well made by Ann Widdecombe.
Alex Morton: Conservatives must be able to debate the future of their Party’s ideas as well as its future leader
Allowing everything to be dominated by questions of personalities undermines essential thinking about matters of policy.
And, late in the day, the Prime Minister bows to our advice, and rushes on to Marr, today, to make the case for her new proposals.
Opinion polls catch-up. The Tories’ troubles come and go – but they keep hitting about 40 per cent, or more, in the polls
The country remains divided poll-wise into two unarmed camps. One cannot stick the Conservatives at any price. The other is unified by its fear of Corbyn.
Those who still refuse to accept we’re really going to leave the EU are misreading the process, the politics, and the people.
“The low point of the Conservative campaign has followed the manifesto launch,” we wrote. “The social care policy tanked, and Tory poll ratings fell with it.”
There is no point in any party piling up votes in its safer seats – assuming that voters vital to it, such as younger people in Labour’s case, turn out in large numbers in any event.
What will count most on election day is not so much how many votes are cast for each party, but how those votes are distributed across all constituencies.
The more likely Tory voters see headline figures like these, the less likely they are to turn out to vote.