Polls, Brexit postponed – and the slump of the Conservative vote

We seem to be heading back towards where British politics was between 2005 and 2015: in other words, towards more of a three or four or perhaps more party system.

Lord Ashcroft: The space for a new party isn’t just in the centre of politics

At the same time, my research shows some of the hurdles any theoretical new movement will have to cross if it is to survive contact with reality.

Steven Edginton: The polling which suggests that most voters believe MPs are trying to stop Brexit

41 per agree that Britain should leave to trade on WTO rules on March 29 compared to 28 per cent who disagree.

Lord Ashcroft: How the United Kingdom voted on EU referendum day – and why

As Meaningful Vote Three on May’s deal looms, we republish the poll of over 12,000 voters which revealed the concerns that helped to decide the referendum.

Craig Hoy: The middle ground is where elections are won and lost in Scotland

Davidson has parked the Conservatives there – and the emergence of the Independent Group opens up new opportunities.

Iain Dale: Were it not for Churchill, McDonnell might be speaking German. And so could the rest of us.

Plus: Up, up and away – HS2’s costs. Staying down – LibDem poll ratings. Stuck where they are – Labour’s.

James Frayne: Amid all the turbulence, one politician is surging among UK voters – Donald Trump

Few actually agree with him, but a surprising number say they admire his decisiveness and strength.

Steve Double: May has misread the mood of the country over free movement. Now is the time to drop hostile rhetoric.

There is a now a window of opportunity for a better, more sensible and cross-party debate than the one we had in the referendum campaign.

Testing our survey against the latest polling of Party members. New evidence on Next Tory Leader.

Johnson has topped an ESRC poll, as he did our last survey. Its findings are even better for Brexiteers than ours were.

May v Stuart. Now that would be a proper Brexit TV debate.

It would be a good match. Former Remainer v the former Chair of Vote Leave. No gender war element, either. How about it, Downing Street?

B.O.Bs v P.A.Ms

It’s the Bored of Brexits versus People against May, as she seeks to snoreathon her way to victory – by persuading MPs that voters have simply had enough.

Lord Ashcroft: My Brexit poll. It’s good for May…but bad for her deal

By a 20-point margin, voters as a whole said MPs should “vote to reject the agreement even if it is not clear what the outcome would then be”.

Iain Dale: Brady, not only keeper of the letters, but a dark horse leadership candidate

Plus: Cox, another possible. Plus 15 names in total. Women for May. And: I will make sure the Treasury backtracks on the loan charge scandal.

Jobs, wages – and stubbornly buoyant Conservative poll ratings

Wages are growing at their fastest rate for ten years, and employment is at a near-record high. But qualifications are necessary…

Lord Ashcroft: The Two Divides – Austerity, Brexit and the problem of building a winning coalition

When we asked people what mattered most to themselves and their families Brexit dropped to third place, with the cost of living at the top of the list.