In the second piece in our mini-series, the Chair of Homes for the North argues that driving public investment in housing towards the South East is not sustainable.
The result will probably offer some respite to an industry which has previously come in for a lot of flak from certain quarters for misrepresenting the state of the race.
The Welsh Political Barometer, for example, forecasts a great night for the Conservatives. They can’t both be right.
All in all, a Conservative win is still the most likely result. But if the YouGov MRP, the Ashcroft dashboard and other polls are accurate, it is less likely than it was.
Johnson’s lead over Corbyn in the best Prime Minister stakes has narrowed slightly to 15 points.
But my latest 4,000-sample poll, conducted between Friday and Monday, finds little change in the overall picture,
We say again that there is a danger of Conservative expectations getting ahead of the electoral facts.
And: the Conservatives hide their own manifesto away. The LibDems bungle theirs – which Prince Andrew wrecks anyway. Plus: election night line-ups.
The campaign feels better run, including online. People massively prefer Boris Johnson to Corbyn. The question is whether it is enough
Farage’s decision to stand down some Brexit Party candidates seems to have been the most impactful development of this election week.
Together with my weekly focus groups, it will help to explain the dynamics of the campaign and the factors that will determine the outcome.
Our answer is: a steady lead and a late wobble – to help get the vote out. He begins the second week on course.
Overall, most English voters would rather keep the Union together if it were up to them.
It sets the scene as the Conservative Conference opens by showing what the voters themselves make of the unfolding drama.
Plus: We Conservatives have a chance to unite, but don’t take an election win for granted. And: the radicalism of Gavin Williamson.