I also have new findings from Bristol North West, Bristol West, Thurrock, Colne Valley and High Peak.
Posts Tagged: Opinion Polls
Plus: this week’s focus groups in Plymouth Moor View and St Austell & Newquay; responses to the manifestos; and what are the leaders’ favourite TV programmes?
A new study from YouGov shows how 2010 voters are now sticking or twisting in their choice for 2015.
Nicola Sturgeon’s party would win seven out of these eight seats on these figures. Douglas Alexander, Charles Kennedy, Jo Swinson – all would be out of the Commons.
Meanwhile, Scotland is perhaps the most disruptive force in modern British electoral history.
Two are ties, and Labour are ahead in three, though well within the margin of error.
Plus: This week’s focus group in Wirral West on McVey, Sturgeon and Trident; and what would the party leaders be like as dinner guests?
Voters may be paying more attention, but they aren’t finding the choice any easier or more palatable.
If Cameron goes as leader it should be because of a loss of Conservative, not Lib Dem, support.
Where do voters in Thurrock and Brentford think the party leaders would go on a night out?
Lord Ashcroft: Clegg is two points behind Labour in Sheffield Hallam. My latest Lib Dem marginals polling.
The battlegrounds show a mix of results. But UKIP is down across the board.
Used wisely, opinion research can help bridge the gap between the political class and the people.
It will take time to spot any real trend in opinion – and longer still to see how it effects the campaign on the ground.
Lord Ashcroft: My latest poll revisits eight marginal seats – and the Conservatives have overtaken Labour in only one
The better national news for the Tories is not spread evenly across the battleground.
Budgets can move the public opinion – but often in the opposite direction from what their authors were intending.