Plus: ComRes – waving. Harris-Quinney – drowning. Bring on Zac Goldsmith. Welcome, Paul Abbott. Jeremy Corbyn, my part in his rise. And: I will miss Charles Kennedy.
Posts Tagged: Opinion Polls
Pollsters should have had follow-up questions to UKIP and Green supporters to assess their likelihood of switching to their preferred main party choice.
Quentin Langley: A secret of our recent success. We understand the Left better than it understands us.
We think they’re mistaken. They simply think we’re evil. And their error may have contributed to the failure of the polls.
Plus: All praise, Lynton Crosby! Breibart – falling apart? The Daily Mail: Chappers out, Shippers back?
There’s no case for barring opinion polls in the run-up to an election – and, with them, our very own Seer of Seers and Prognosticator of Prognosticators…
A period of silence from the pollsters would be welcome. And maybe we should consider a period of poll-purdah before a national vote.
The Conservative Party has an unexpected opportunity to prove it is the party for people who are optimistic, open-minded and self-reliant.
Poor results in London for the Conservatives and good results elsewhere were foreshadowed.
I have polled 12,000 people on the values and motivations which underlie their voting.
The last ten surveys contain mixed news for all parties and some noteworthy results.
The final result probably won’t differ much from what we expected a month ago. But even small differences matter.
A new poll contains a hint that the Conservatives might be doing better than Labour at getting their messages across.
I have also taken another look at Sheffield Hallam and South Swindon.
I also have new findings from Bristol North West, Bristol West, Thurrock, Colne Valley and High Peak.
Plus: this week’s focus groups in Plymouth Moor View and St Austell & Newquay; responses to the manifestos; and what are the leaders’ favourite TV programmes?