In political terms, 2016 is turning out to be every bit as important, in historical terms, as 1968.
Posts Tagged: Opinion Polls
A poll of nearly 30,000 voters reveals both Trump and Clinton supporters expecting to feel “fear”, “concern”, “disbelief” and “despair” if their candidate loses.
Trump, the election and the polls. It is still unlikely that he’ll pull it off. But it could happen.
He seems to have been gaining some ground before the FBI announced its recent investigation.
Indeed, the left is not only outnumbered but divided on immigration.
Lord Ashcroft: Yes, my focus groups like May’s confident start. But she faces three potential pitfalls.
Achieving the right Brexit deal is the key. This would be a good deal easier if everyone agreed what the right deal looked like.
Gary Bennett: Stop blaming the old and the ignorant for Brexit – the statistics just don’t support these myths
The other popular Remain argument – that the result was too close to provide a valid mandate – is also bogus.
It now seems that the pro-EU campaign were lulled into a false sense of security by erroneous poll numbers.
My new poll of over 12,000 voters reveals the messages that resonated and the concerns that helped to decide the referendum.
Lord Ashcroft: Control versus risk – my new poll explores which message might win out in the referendum battle
Opinion remains divided, but the Leave vote is hardening.
Lord Ashcroft: My latest EU referendum focus groups – and why they weren’t swayed by Obama’s intervention
Plus: Would leaving the EU really reduce immigration? What will Labour voters do? Does anyone remember Cameron’s deal? And: did Boris date a bondage queen?
The Westminster Village gets overwrought about the politics of America and overwhelmed by the glamour of its presidency.
Rebecca Coulson: What makes undecided voters decide – and are they really undecided in the first place?
I’m one of 20 per cent who have not made their mind up about how to vote in the EU referendum.
Lord Ashcroft: The renegotiation was meant to build support for Remain – it may have done the opposite
Cameron has been in his element in recent days, but the manoeuvering in Brussels has highlighted the risks of remaining.
Overall, six in ten respondents throughout the EU said they would prefer the UK to remain a member.
Lord Ashcroft: “If Britain leaves, we’ll be left behind with all these losers” – what the Dutch make of Brexit
For some, a Leave vote in Britain would raise questions about their own country’s position: “If they go, we should leave too”.