For the most part, those in SW1 don’t actually set out to deceive the public. The trouble is – they deceive themselves.
Posts Tagged: Opinion Polls
Iain Duncan Smith: It is better to face the social care crisis head-on than to dump the costs onto our children
The Prime Minister has shown determination and boldness – and the alternative is enormous tax increases under Corbyn.
None the less, a fall in the Conservative poll lead is not unhelpful to Downing Street and CCHQ at this stage of the campaign.
The message should not be to deny the risk of Corbyn Government is low – but to insist that however low the risk it is still irresponsible to Vote Labour.
It comes with a stipulation of its own. My constituency estimates, to adapt my 2015 mantra, are a probability, not a prediction.
Was your vote in the EU referendum a vote for yourself, your family, your neighbourhood, your country, Europe, or the world? For the short-term or the long?
Nick Hillman: Students, the election and our poll. More than half say they will vote Labour. And they still want to punish the LibDems.
They are willing to support the Corbyn leadership even though they expect it to break a similar tuition fees promise to that broken by Nick Clegg.
Iain Dale: There’s only so far that Labour can fall in the polls. I think we’ve reached that point now.
Plus: May needs Johnson. My election predictions. Strange selection decisions. And: why I decided not to put my name forward for the seat in which I grew up.
The more likely Tory voters see headline figures like these, the less likely they are to turn out to vote.
John Lamont selected to fight Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk, as a poll puts Davidson’s team on course to win as many as 12 seats.
The Opposition’s promise to extend the policy is opportunistic, expensive, and unjust. The Conservatives must do what is necessary and right.
Lord Ashcroft: The parties.The leaders. And leaving the EU. What my 10,000-sample poll and focus groups found.
If the Government thinks that we cannot have our Brexit cake and eat it, Ministers must be careful not to let expectations get out of hand.
John Major secured more votes than any other Prime Minister in unpromising circumstances – but ‘stretching the elastic of democracy’ would cost the Party dearly.
Brown let talk of a general election run out of control. Is Sturgeon doing the same with a second independence referendum?
Whatever Scotland’s first Minister decides to do, events seem to be creating their own momentum.
Will he make America great again? What is more important – jobs or building the wall? And why do Democrats think Hillary lost?