Graphics to follow later but YouGov poll in tomorrow’s Sunday Times gives the Tories a 38% to 32% lead. 4.45pm update on Sunday: The 9% lead in the ConservativeHome Poll of Polls is the largest in the series. It may rise after May’s local elections if the Tories do well and David Cameron gains a […]
Dr Frank Luntz, the celebrity pollster who "created Cameron", will paint a depressing picture of voters’ attitudes to politicians on Newsnight tonight: "Listening to the British electorate talk about politics is like listening to parents on a football pitch gripe about the referee. The last time I heard such discontent, frustration and genuine hostility to […]
An ICM poll for the Sunday Mirror puts the Tories on 40% – 11% ahead of Labour. In the ConservativeHome Poll of Polls Labour are now at their lowest level and the Tories are at their highest level. Apologies for the lateness of posting this (we don’t read The Sunday Mirror as attentively at ConservativeHome […]
Trust in Labour’s management of the economy has taken another knock. In a Populus poll undertaken over the weekend – the same one which gave the Conservatives an 8% overall lead – the Conservatives and LibDems are both up on overall economic management, fairness of taxes and long-termism. The fall in trust in Labour to […]
"RECORD TORY POLL LEAD, AND IT’S LIKELY TO GROW." That’s the headline in this morning’s Times above a Populus opinion poll that puts the Conservatives in a 38% to 30% lead over Labour. The LibDems are down 1% on 18%. The Tory lead in the ConservativeHome poll of polls is now a record 8.25% with […]
The Conservatives have an 11 point lead in this month’s CommunicateResearch poll for The Independent. The Party has gone up 6 points from 34% in last month’s CR survey, which would convert into a Commons majority of approximately 100 seats. Labour have remained below the 30% mark and the LibDems have fallen 4 points. The […]
On yesterday’s ToryDiary I agreed with Peter Riddell that UKIP weren’t the main threat to the Tories but I’m more interested in the danger of possible Tory voters floating between voting and staying-at-home (Bromley-style). Peter Riddell appeared more interested in voters floating between the three main parties. The graph above – given to me yesterday […]
A YouGov/ Telegraph opinion poll gives the Tories a (stable) 5% lead tomorrow. Graphics will follow in the morning. Perhaps more significant is the fact that the Tories have a 30% to 27% lead over Labour on economic competence. That 3% advantage compares very favourably with a 22% disadvantage (49% over 27%) at the last […]
I’ll do the graphics in the morning (rushing off to dinner with John O’Sullivan) but there’s an ICM poll for tomorrow’s Guardian giving the Tories a 9% lead. The Tory advantage is 40% (+3%) to 31% (unchanged) over a Blair-led Labour party with the LibDems on 19%. The lead grows to 42% to 29% with […]
ConservativeHome posted on the headline figures last night… but there are a few interesting Brown/ Cameron comparisons within the YouGov poll for The Sunday Times (highlighted on ePolitix.com): Lightweight: Brown 9% v Cameron 26% Out-of-touch: Brown 38% v Cameron 28% Thought likely to "say anything to win votes": Brown 24% v Cameron 41%. Other Brown […]
A poll for tomorrow’s Sunday Times (not yet online) rejects Blair’s famous early years claim to be a pretty straight kind of guy. Just 16% told YouGov that they saw the Prime Minister as "honest and straightforward." Over half (56%) said they believe he awarded peerages in return for loans/ donations to the Labour Party. […]
Interesting report in today’s Yorkshire Post from their Political Editor Simon McGee: "It emerged last night that Tory MPs and senior officials were summoned to Conservative headquarters earlier this week for a confidential briefing with their leader on the party’s seven new aims for 2007. Among them was an instruction for MPs to go back […]
A Populus poll for this morning’s Times puts the Tory lead at 3% (down from 7% last month). ConservativeHome is sceptical about the value of ‘if Brown were Labour leader’ polls but the gap with Cameron’s Conservatives narrows to just 1% when Populus asked that question this month. Generally more meaningful are voters’ assessments of […]
In last week’s Times I wrote about the tendency of the three main political parties to gather around the established centre of British politics: "Britain’s mainstream political parties all look set to offer a very similar menu at the next election. It will be the political equivalent of spam with beans, spam with greens or […]
It seems rare that all of Britain’s five main pollsters give a very similar message but the graphic on the right summarises a fairly consistent and slightly strengthening Tory position as Labour’s woes mount. There’s more detail on MORI’s poll on its website.