On Friday I warned that this would be ‘fasten our seat belts’ time. I hope you have clunk-clicked… A poll in tomorrow’s Observer – from Ipsos-MORI – puts Labour on 39% (up 4% on last month) and the Tories on 36% (down 1%). The LibDems are down 3% to just 15%. The detail of the […]
Last week we asked three of Britain’s leading opinion pollsters, Stephan Shakespeare of YouGov, Andrew Hawkins of CommunicateResearch and Ben Page of Ipsos Mori, five questions on polling and we’ve been publishing their answers . So far we have seen our experts answers to the following questions: Blair is still in office. The public have […]
A YouGov survey for tonight’s Channel 4 News suggests that David Cameron may be seen as more moderate than his predecessor Michael Howard but the Tory party as a whole is still seen as much further to the right than Labour is seen as to the left. On a scale of -100% (very left-wing) to […]
The simple truth from this Sunday Times/ YouGov poll is that Labour are up two points and the Tories are down two points. The headline spin from The Sunday Times, however, is that the Tories are back to the same kind of opinion poll lead that they had at the very start of David Cameron’s […]
We’ve asked three of Britain’s leading opinion pollsters, Stephan Shakespeare of YouGov, Andrew Hawkins of CommunicateResearch and Ben Page of Ipsos Mori, five questions on polling. So far they have answered three of them and you can see their answers here, here and here. The fourth question was Do you think that public opinion moves […]
We’ve asked three of Britain’s leading opinion pollsters, Stephan Shakespeare of YouGov, Andrew Hawkins of CommunicateResearch and Ben Page of Ipsos Mori, five questions on polling. We’ve already published the answers to the first two questions here and here but here’s the third: What do you think of Robert Worcester’s belief that economic competence, party […]
We’ve asked three of Britain’s leading opinion pollsters, Stephan Shakespeare of YouGov, Andrew Hawkins of CommunicateResearch and Ben Page of Ipsos MORI, five questions on polling: Yesterday we revelled the answer to the first question: Blair is still in office. The public have yet to see Brown in Downing Street. Then there’s the silly and […]
We’ve asked three of Britain’s leading opinion pollsters, Stephan Shakespeare of YouGov, Andrew Hawkins of CommunicateResearch and Ben Page of Ipsos Mori, five questions on polling: Blair is still in office. The public have yet to see Brown in Downing Street. Then there’s the silly and party conference seasons. When will be a good time […]
The headline findings of this month’s Populus survey for The Times suggest little change for the main parties. The Tory lead is 3% now compared to 4% one month ago. The Times – like Sunday’s Telegraph – chooses to focus upon a deterioration in Cameron’s ratings against Brown when it comes to certain character traits. […]
An ICM survey in The Sunday Telegraph suggests that the Tory lead is up from 2% (when ICM conducted their last survey for The Guardian) to 5% but you wouldn’t know that from the headline over the newspaper’s coverage. "Cameron much weaker than Brown, says voters" is the top spin chosen by The Sunday Telegraph. […]
The ‘grammar school war’ is how a leader in The Daily Telegraph describes David Cameron’s most difficult period since he became Tory leader. After yesterday’s resignation by Graham Brady the newspaper adopts a more positive tone than was evident last week when Tory-Telegraph relations deteriorated noticeably. The leader accuses the Tory leadership of blundering and […]
An ICM survey for The Daily Mail confirms a recent YouGov finding that voters do want grammar schools. Although 68% of respondents said that a promise to build a grammar school in every town would make no difference to their voting intention, 21% said that it would make them more likely to vote Conservative and […]
The headline figures of the latest YouGov/ Telegraph poll (compared to the most recent YouGov survey for the Sunday Times) give the Tories a 6% advantage. Three other important observations from the survey: The Tory rating (5% higher than Thursday’s ICM/ Guardian survey) suggests no immediate electoral damage from grammarsgate; Gordon Brown will be pleased […]
A new ICM poll in tomorrow’s Guardian suggests that the Tory lead is down to 2%. All I will say at this point is what I said on 15th May: "It will be sometime after the autumn’s party conference season before we can fully assess the impact of Gordon Brown on the political landscape. Only […]
This morning’s Populus poll for The Times suggests a similar narrowing of the Tory advantage of Labour as was indicated by Sunday’s YouGov survey. The Blair resignation effect has so far overwhelmed the halo effect of the Tories’ local election results and the Conservative lead is halved to 4%. The bad news for Gordon Brown […]