Iain Dale was right with his leak earlier. The new YouGov survey for The Daily Telegraph puts Labour 11% behind the Conservatives. The Telegraph reports: "More than 60% of Britons are now either “very worried” or “somewhat worried” that there will be an economic downturn in the next two years with the majority of the […]
The Telegraph’s Three Line Whip: "Tonight’s YouGov poll for the Telegraph is, to quote our polling guru Anthony King, ‘one of the most devastating I’ve ever seen’. That’s quite a verdict from a man who has been looking at these things for four decades. We’ll say no more for now, other than that one of […]
A ComRes poll for tomorrow’s Independent has the Conservatives 13% ahead. Yes, unlucky for Labour 13%! Labour is down 6% on its previous ComRes rating. Is this a permanent turning against Gordon Brown? If so, there must be a good chance that Labour will replace him before too long. Their problem is the lack of […]
…That’s perhaps the most interesting finding from two opinion polls that appear tomorrow. BPIX for the Mail on Sunday find 46% opposed to ID cards and 43% in favour. I’m grateful to John Leonard and UK Polling Report for the advance knowledge. BPIX has the Conservatives on 40% (-1%) and Labour on 35% (-2%). No […]
The Guardian has just released a new ICM poll. It has the Conservatives on 37% (down 3%), Labour on 31% (down 4%) and the LibDems up to 21% (up 3%). The Guardian’s Will Woodward comments: "Despite having only an interim leader, the Liberal Democrats are up three points. The party’s improved performance can be seen […]
The Tories are on 41% (unchanged), Labour 32% (down 3%) and the LibDems on 14% (up 1%). 8.15pm: I’m also hearing that a Times poll has trust in Labour’s economic competence down from 61% to 28%. Amazing. 9.45pm: Direct from Sky: "The number of voters who trust Gordon Brown and Chancellor Alistair Darling more than […]
A YouGov survey for The Sunday Times puts the Conservatives 6% ahead of Labour. Labour are down 3% to 35%, the Conservatives are unchanged on 41%. Anthony Wells at UK Polling Report notes that the Conservatives appear to be settling in the low forties: "With the exception of Populus who have them slightly lower, Conservative […]
An ICM poll for the Sunday Express puts the Conservatives eight points ahead of Labour on voting intentions. Labour remain on 35% from the last ICM poll with the Conservatives gaining three points, presumably at the expense of the LibDems, to 43%. This is our best showing for fifteen years with ICM. On the issue […]
A Populus poll for The Times will pour a little cold water on recent Tory enthusiasm. Labour is 1% ahead according to the poll (it was 2% ahead one month ago). Other recent surveys by the major pollsters have all shown the Tories ahead: 5% ahead according to Ipsos-MORI; 5% according to ICM; 8% up […]
With apologies for the lateness of this post but a survey in yesterday’s Sun put the Tories 5% ahead of Labour. Last week a survey from the same pollster (using different methodologies?) put Labour 1% ahead. The poll focused on immigration and you can inspect the detailed findings here.
Sky News has the headline numbers from an ICM poll for tomorrow’s Guardian. The LibDems appear to be doing better without Ming. They’re up 4% on the most recent ICM poll (for The Sunday Telegraph). Sky reports that voter perceptions of Gordon Brown have been battered over the last month. 29% of respondents said their […]
Ben Brogan is confirming the rumours that tomorrow’s Independent will carry a ComRes poll that would give the Conservatives a two seat majority in an election: Conservatives – 41%Labour – 33%Lib Dems – 16% ComRes had Labour 3% ahead in mid-September. More later… 10.15am on 30th October: The Independent: "The findings will worry Labour MPs, […]
Source: Ananova (thanks John Leonard for alerting me!) Ipsos MORI gave the Tories a 3% lead on 11th October. More tomorrow. Sunday morning update: "Unlike YouGov’s poll published on Friday (although actually conducted slightly later than this one) the poll suggests that Labour have begun to recover slightly from their position earlier this month. With […]
The headline figures that YouGov have provided for tomorrow’s Telegraph are exactly the same as we saw in The Sunday Times, one day after Gordon Brown ‘bottled it’. Within the poll there is much more for us to chew on: By 48% to 34% voters are now dissatisfied with Gordon Brown. Last month David Cameron […]
One week after Labour’s Black Saturday, an ICM survey for tomorrow’s Sunday Telegraph puts the Conservatives on 43%; 7% ahead of Labour. ICM haven’t put the Conservatives at such a level since before Black Wednesday, in 1992. Such a result would give David Cameron’s Conservatives a single figure majority in the Commons. The LibDems would […]