The latest polls clarify the choice: either Johnson gets it done, or a Corbyn-led government blocks it. A vote for Farage is a vote for the latter.
Posts Tagged: Opinion Polls
All in all, a Conservative win is still the most likely result. But if the YouGov MRP, the Ashcroft dashboard and other polls are accurate, it is less likely than it was.
Lord Ashcroft: Labour support solidifies as expectations grow of a Tory win. My final election dashboard.
Johnson’s lead over Corbyn in the best Prime Minister stakes has narrowed slightly to 15 points.
My research suggests that parties of the centre-right should be cautious about mistaking transactional voter support for deeper allegiance.
“Double-standards apply,” she says when asked about approval ratings and whether she is a victim of sexism.
The Brexit Party will win 13-14% of the vote in Thursday’s election despite what the opinion polls say, he predicts.
Chris Whiteside: A hung parliament with Labour and the SNP able to form a government is still a very real danger
With so many disillusioned with politicians of all parties the role of self-defeating expectations comes into play.
I’ve been nervous after last time – but here goes. Plus: Farage is having a dreadful campaign. And why election night TV will never be the same again.
The visit has the potential to be an electoral gift to an increasingly desperate Labour Party. For Downing Street, a successful trip by the President will be one that causes as few political headlines as possible.
Lord Ashcroft: Labour is doing better among its former voters than at this campaign’s start. Week Four of my General Election Dashboard.
But my latest 4,000-sample poll, conducted between Friday and Monday, finds little change in the overall picture,
At the last election strong early poll leads seduced them into shifting resources from marginals into far more hostile territory, with disastrous results.
Their MRP projection has the Scottish Nationalists picking up several seats, often by narrow margins, which would surprise those on the ground.
We say again that there is a danger of Conservative expectations getting ahead of the electoral facts.
And how we reached what seems like an unusually grim and shambolic time in national life.
Lord Ashcroft: The Tories hold steady, while Labour firms up its Leaver vote. Week Three of my General Election Dashboard.
When forced to choose, people prefer a Boris Johnson government to a Corbyn government by a ten-point margin, down from 12 points last week.